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Thursday, February 14, 2008
Obama Overcomes Early Polling Figures ...
The Story
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton has double-digit leads over Barack Obama in Ohio and Pennsylvania, both crucial states in upcoming primaries, according to Quinnipiac University poll released on Thursday.
Clinton, a New York senator, has lost eight straight nominating contests to Illinois Sen. Obama, but leads him 55 percent to 34 percent among likely Democratic primary voters in Ohio, the poll found. ...
"Ohio is as good a demographic fit for Sen. Clinton as she will find," Peter Brown, an Quinnipiac University Polling Institute official, said in a statement.
Ohio, Rhode Island, Texas and Vermont hold nominating contests on March 4. Pennsylvania voters will select presidential nominees in a primary election on April 22.
The survey found that among likely Democratic primary voters in Pennsylvania, Clinton leads Obama 52 percent to 36 percent. ...
The Quinnipiac University poll was taken February 6 through 12, after the "Super Tuesday" ...
The Ohio poll of 1,748 voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.3 percent, including 564 Democratic likely voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percent.
The Pennsylvania poll of 1,419 voters has a margin of error plus or minus 2.6 percent, including 577 Democratic likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percent.
(Writing by JoAnne Allen; Editing by Bill Trott)
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A Measured Response
Posted by fdur6575 February 14, 2008 11:14 AM
The poll that will take place after Obama has actually campaigned in these states will be more informative.
Clinton was up by 20 points across the country a month ago, but (except for Super Tuesday when he didn't have time to get everywhere), those margins collapsed state by state once Obama campaigned.
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One Question
Why release poll results for primaries that take place on March 4 and April 22, before two other primaries (WI, HI) have yet to take place?
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Final Comment
This has been the best Black History month of my life!
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton has double-digit leads over Barack Obama in Ohio and Pennsylvania, both crucial states in upcoming primaries, according to Quinnipiac University poll released on Thursday.
Clinton, a New York senator, has lost eight straight nominating contests to Illinois Sen. Obama, but leads him 55 percent to 34 percent among likely Democratic primary voters in Ohio, the poll found. ...
"Ohio is as good a demographic fit for Sen. Clinton as she will find," Peter Brown, an Quinnipiac University Polling Institute official, said in a statement.
Ohio, Rhode Island, Texas and Vermont hold nominating contests on March 4. Pennsylvania voters will select presidential nominees in a primary election on April 22.
The survey found that among likely Democratic primary voters in Pennsylvania, Clinton leads Obama 52 percent to 36 percent. ...
The Quinnipiac University poll was taken February 6 through 12, after the "Super Tuesday" ...
The Ohio poll of 1,748 voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.3 percent, including 564 Democratic likely voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percent.
The Pennsylvania poll of 1,419 voters has a margin of error plus or minus 2.6 percent, including 577 Democratic likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percent.
(Writing by JoAnne Allen; Editing by Bill Trott)
-------------------
A Measured Response
Posted by fdur6575 February 14, 2008 11:14 AM
The poll that will take place after Obama has actually campaigned in these states will be more informative.
Clinton was up by 20 points across the country a month ago, but (except for Super Tuesday when he didn't have time to get everywhere), those margins collapsed state by state once Obama campaigned.
-----------------------
One Question
Why release poll results for primaries that take place on March 4 and April 22, before two other primaries (WI, HI) have yet to take place?
-----------------------
Final Comment
This has been the best Black History month of my life!
Comments:
Good points!
I think that we will see these polls shift a lot in the next few weeks to small single digit margins (I would guess 2-5%).
See: http://dailymkaplan.blogspot.com
Post a Comment
I think that we will see these polls shift a lot in the next few weeks to small single digit margins (I would guess 2-5%).
See: http://dailymkaplan.blogspot.com
